Tour de France 2022 – From Mende to the clock: Tadej Pogacar, seven days for a reconquest against Jonas Vingegaard

He was expecting attacks from Tadej (Pogacar), he will start again whenever he can“Tadej Pogacar did not wait to lose the yellow shirt to start his harassment business to Jonas Vingegaard and the others. The cobblestones, Longwy, Châtel, Megève, so many opportunities because” Pogi “hoped to win big or aim small to remember that he is, or was, the boss.Fall at the Granon, the double headline is seen again as a hunter.He still has five stages to recover his 2’22 ” deficit over Vingegaard. ‘reconquest operation.

Saint Etienne – Mende

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13th stage 1 (July 6)
Length: 192.5 km
Type: Medium mountain
Arriving at the top: No.

The profile of the 14th stage: Thorns before the grand final in Mende

How can Pogacar do that?

From the capital of Forez to the Montée Laurent Jalabert, the day will be difficult for the big thighs, less so for the leaders. If there won’t be a flat meter in the last hundred miles of the stage, we’d be surprised at least if the day comes down to something other than a mountain climb. Which will not displease Tadej Pogacar.

If it does not correspond to the millimeter to the qualities of the Slovenian, the ascent, with its three kilometers to 10.2% on average, promises to have an advantage over its Danish rival. Explosive at will, Pogacar will attack without a doubt and nothing says that Jonas Vingegaard will be able to follow him in high percentages. At the top, the difference will be a maximum of seconds, but the holder of the double title will be very interested in the bonuses that should not escape him even in case of completion of the very small commission, if the rupture does not come to an end. . That would at least be a good start.

Short but (very) hard: the profile of the famous “Montée Laurent Jalabert”

The viability index: 3/5 (The higher it is, the more we estimate that Pogacar has a chance to make up for the time in Vingegaard)

Carcassonne – Foix

16th stage (July 19)
Length: 178.5 km
Type: Medium mountain
Arriving at the top: No.

The profile of the 16th stage: Knowing how to go up … and go down

How can Pogacar do that?

Let’s face it, this 16th will be just a small snack in the Pyrenees much more copious the next day and the next day. For 113 kilometers, nothing will happen to the leaders of the general classification. Next will be the Port of Lers (11.4 km at 7%) and the Mur de Péguère (9.3 km at 7.9%). Two difficult and shorter climbs than those in the Alps. History has shown that the efforts of about 30 minutes are better suited to Pogacar. Will it be enough?

The truth is that it is hard to believe in operations far from the UAE team and if there is movement, we imagine it more in the last kilometers of the Mur de Péguère (the last four are above 11% with passages at 18% and 16%). It will be necessary, however, for the white shirt to have the hope that Vingegaard will play from man to man and not with the strength of his team. Because at the top, there will be 27 kilometers left, a long distance for a single man if the yellow jersey still has Kuss, Roglic or Kruijswijk with him.

The viability index: 2/5

Saint-Gaudens – Peyragudes

17th stage (July 20)
Length: 129.7 km
Type: High mountain
Arriving at the top: Yes

The profile of the 17th stage: Short but (very) muscular

How can Pogacar do that?

We know more or less what Tadej Pogacar will do on Tuesday evening in his hotel room: see and analyze the arrival of the Tour de France 2017 at the Peyragudes plateau. While he himself was only discovering professional careers, Romain Bardet had won and Fabio Aru had stolen the yellow jersey from a distressed Chris Froome. The leader of the general had dropped the wheels 200 meters from the line and gave up … 22 seconds. A chasm at such a short distance.

Unlike in 2017, the altiport will not be approached by Peyresourde and by a descent. It will be necessary to fill Peyragudes in its entirety, difficult ascent (8 km to 7.8%). Everything should be concentrated in the last hectometers … unless Tadej Pogacar could not recover a single second from Jonas Vingegaard against Peyragudes. In this case, it will necessarily have to be discovered earlier in the hope that the last kilometer will allow you to create a real void in the yellow shirt.

The viability index: 4/5

Lourdes – Hautacam

18th stage (July 21)
Length: 143.2 km
Type: High mountain
Arriving at the top: Yes

The profile of the 18th stage: Aubisque and Hautacam, final bouquet in the mountains

How can Pogacar do that?

This time maybe it’s just fireworks. Another after that of Galibier and Granon. Problem for Tadej Pogacar, he will not be able to bet on his own Primoz Roglic to put the yellow jersey in trouble. Therefore, it will be one against one where it will not be. The profile, passing through the Aubisque for its most difficult slope (16.4 km at 7.1%), the new Col de Spandelles (10.3 km and 8.3%) and finally Hautacam (13.6 km at 7.8%), hang sacred promises.

From kilometer 63 to the finish, that is, 80 terminals, there will only be a very small valley before facing the final ascent. An invitation to fight from afar. One of two things, or Tadej Pogacar will still have time to catch up and in this case he will probably put everything he has on the road and start from (very) far away. Or it will have already recovered all or part of its delay and in this case an explanation is expected from the leaders on the legendary climb to Hautacam. Either way, the day could hurt a lot.

The viability index: 4/5

Lacapelle-Marival – Rocamadour

20th stage (July 23)
Length: 40.7 km
Type: time trial
Arriving at the top: No.

The profile of the 20th stage: 40km of time to force the destination

How can Pogacar do that?

By convening the Planche des Belles Filles! After a Tour that will have been, no matter what happens now or almost, complicated, the Rocamadour time trial, its forty kilometers and its mountainous profile, will be very dangerous for those who have a place to defend. You’ll have to have more on your feet to deliver good performance and Pogacar has already shown in 2020 and 2021 (and the Vuelta 2019) that he’s a big touring gentleman of the third week.

Pogacar and Vingegaard have faced each other seven times between professionals for five wins for the first against two for their rival. Last year on the Tour, the first half (27 km) had turned in Pogacar’s lead when the second (30 km) had seen Vingegaard ahead of him. It is not absurd to say and think that “Pogi” is better than the Dane. On the other hand, a smart move is anyone who can guess the outcome of this time trial in advance. On the other hand, La Planche will surely have everyone in mind if Pogacar returns to the minute.

The viability index: 2/5

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