Before the decisive WRC final in Monza, Sébastien Ogier and Elfyn Evans are 17 points apart. Take a look at your chances of a world mathematical title.
In Finland and then in Spain, Sebastien Ogier (Toyota) benefited from two opportunities to mathematically validate the 2021 World Rally Champion title. Unsuccessful. From then on, it was during the last phase of the season in Monza, from 19 to 21 November, that the Gapençais, accompanied for the last time by his co-pilot Julien Ingrassia, must materialize. Otherwise, the crown will be designed for the first time Elfyn Evans (Toyota), 2020 world runner-upthe only other driver still fighting for the title this season.
=> Rally Monza 2021: classification and live information
17 points difference between Ogier and Evans
In the last two rallies, Sébastien Ogier’s advantage over Elfyn Evans has been drastically reduced. In question, two modest fifth and fourth places on the Frenchman’s credit, while the Welshman had won in Finland before finishing second in the Rally of Spain. Getting 44 points before the Nordic eventthe difference between the No. 1 and No. 33 Toyota Yaris WRCs grew to 24 lengths ahead of the Hispanic round, and eventually fell to 17 units before this last meeting in Monza.
Ogier can be satisfied with a 3rd place
Despite its negative dynamics, Sébastien Ogier remains in very favorable resignations. In fact, in case of a complete card of his rival (25 points for the general victory, 5 points for the best time of the Power Stage), with only a third place (15 points) would be enough to get his eighth title. That meansElfyn Evans does not have her destiny in her handsas the Welshman has to wait for at least two drivers to step in between him and the current championship leader.
Evans has to aim for the podium to wait
Otherwise, if Sébastien Ogier does not score a pointElfyn Evans must climb at least one of the first two steps of the podium to make sure he is a starter, or in the third step (15 points) finishing third in the Power Stage (3 points). A fourth place (12 points) would not be enough, even in the case of a better time on the Power Stage (5 points). In fact, after scoring 17 points, he would be tied on points with Sébastien Ogier, who would continue to start with the number of victories achieved this season (4 to 2 against Monza).
Toyota 6 points from the title
On the part of the manufacturers, the scales tip very clearly in favor of Toyota. The Japanese team has one 47 point margin over Hyundai before the Monza Rally. If you receive a full card from your Korean rival (53 points), you only need to register 6 units to recover the world crown.
Ogier champion if …
As a reminder, before the decisive date in Monza, Sébastien Ogier has 204 points and 4 victories, against 187 points and 2 victories for Elfyn Evans. Like this, in the event of a final tie between the two drivers, the Frenchman would have the security of being the starter for the number of victories. As a result, he can afford to give up 17 points to his runner-up during the Monza Rally to be crowned. Find out below a summary of the different possible scenarios.
Sébastien Ogier will win the 2021 world title if:
- Get at least 13 points (1st, 2nd or 3rd in rally / 4th in rally and 5th in Power Stage / 5th in rally and 3rd in PS / 6th in rally and 1st in PS)
- Grants Evans a maximum of 17 points (combined total Rally and Power Stage)
- Evans does not score more than 17 points (no better than 3rd in the rally and 3rd in the Power Stage / no better than 4th in the rally and 1st in PS)
To score : The points scale rewards the first 10 of the final classification (25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1), while additional points are awarded to the first 5 of the last phase of the test, called Power Stage (5-4-3-2-1).
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